Tropical Outlook September 2, 2024

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Mon Sep 2 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:

A broad and weak area of low pressure just offshore of the middle

Texas coast continues to produce some disorganized shower activity

along portions of the coast of Texas and over the adjacent waters of

the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. This system is expected to move

inland early Tuesday, and development is not expected. Regardless,

heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of the

Texas coast during the next day or two.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:

A tropical wave is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty

winds across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico,

Hispaniola and over the adjacent waters. Environmental conditions

are forecast to become more conducive for development when the

system reaches the western Caribbean Sea and southwestern Gulf of

Mexico late this week and over the weekend, and a tropical

depression could form during that time.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:

A tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is producing

disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions

are forecast to become a little more conducive for development, and

a tropical depression could form in a few days while the disturbance

moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward over the eastern

tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system could produce areas of heavy

rain and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands in a

day or two.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.